From Test the judge, then test the evidence.Issue published Oct 9, 2026

The right number can cite the wrong fact.

Published Oct 6, 2026

What it saysThe study held arithmetic and numbers fixed while moving citations between table cells with the same value. The checker sometimes accepted the wrong financial role and sometimes withheld valid alternatives. On 36 fresh source pages, 25 of 53 reviewer-supported citations were withheld at the chosen cutoff.

Why it mattersMatching a value does not prove that its source supports the claim. Period, unit and business role need their own check, while valid alternative evidence must not be rejected blindly.

Try thisTake one passing evidence-based answer. Swap its citation for a same-value cell with a different role, then test whether your checker notices.

How to use it

Suggested steps

  1. Check calculation correctness and evidence support as separate events.
  2. Add same-value wrong-role swaps plus valid alternative controls.
  3. Measure bad citations accepted and good citations withheld at each cutoff.
Conceptual evidence stress testConceptual explanation · Evals Weekly
Keep fixedChange or compare
Answer and arithmeticCitation points to same number, wrong role
Answer and arithmeticCitation expresses the same valid fact
Checker decisionBad accepted vs good withheld

Keep in mind The fresh test used 36 selected finance pages and one reviewer, with no inter-reviewer agreement. It measures a component, not population failure rates.

A quick check for yourself

Does finding the same number prove a citation supports the claim?

Show answer

No. The period, unit and meaning of the cited cell must also match.

Source & why it’s here